Two of this cycle’s ‘toss-up’ states – Indiana and Nevada – have hosted the most closely decided races for the office in seven cycles over the last century.
The 4th CD race is the 10th rematch among major party nominees for the office in state history; each of the previous nine losers were unsuccessful in the rematch.
Doug Jones’ victory last month brings the total of senators elected to the chamber with a plurality of the vote to 14 – tied for the most in 95+ years.
Record partisan winning streaks in races for governor can be extended, broken, or tied in 15 states holding elections in 2018.
GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.
No Republican U.S. Senator from Nevada – and no elected Senator from either party – has ever been defeated in a primary election.
The Nevada lawmaker hopes to become the first female freshman U.S. Representative to win a Senate seat.
Only 1 of 49 U.S. Representatives are seeking to flip gubernatorial seats in states carried by their party’s presidential nominee last year.
Just seven states have had an average victory margin of less than 10 points over the last three decades with North Carolina leading the pack.
Heller is the only Republican among the 15 U.S. Senators who serve states in which their party holds a minority of U.S. House seats; a dozen (including Heller) are up for reelection in 2018.