The political environment is in place to give Democrats their best chance to win in the deep red state.
Over the last 50 years, 41 losing nominees in special elections landed a rematch in the subsequent general election – only six were victorious and just two since 1981.
The less than 0.1-point lead currently held by Kobach over Colyer ranks as the closest race among the 88 major party gubernatorial primaries in state history.
The party has picked up more than one U.S. House seat in Kansas during just three cycles since statehood – each time riding a massive national Democratic wave.
Only three presidential candidates have attempted a third major party bid after two failed attempts in the modern primary era.
Over 100 elected governors have resigned since 1900; a state’s last two elected governors have resigned back-to-back only 10 times.
Five Kansans have served as secretaries of U.S. departments a total of six times since statehood.
Only one region of the country is regularly seeing both parties win U.S. Senate seats in the vast majority of its states.
The Yellowhammer State is tied with Kansas for the fewest years of sending lawmakers to the Senate from different political parties over the last century.
It’s been a quarter century since Democrats won U.S. House seats in both Kansas and Nebraska.