Which US Senate Race Will Be the Biggest Nail-Biter of 2018?
Two of this cycle’s ‘toss-up’ states – Indiana and Nevada – have hosted the most closely decided races for the office in seven cycles over the last century.
Two of this cycle’s ‘toss-up’ states – Indiana and Nevada – have hosted the most closely decided races for the office in seven cycles over the last century.
The party has hosted only one contested primary for the office over the last dozen cycles since 1988.
Slightly more than 1 in 20 Hoosiers entering Congress since statehood had a family member precede them in one of the two legislative chambers.
Eight members of Congress from Indiana have simultaneously served alongside family members on the Hill; the Braun brothers hope their names will be added to that list after 2018.
Only five of 55 U.S. Senate partisan winning streaks of eight in a row have been halted in the subsequent contest during direct election era.
GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.
Only one of the 73 Republican U.S. House members from Trump states with Democratic US Senators on the 2018 ballot has mounted a challenge.
The 10 Trump states with Democratic incumbents have voted for senate nominees from the opposing party of the sitting president 62 percent of the time over the last 50 years.
At least one first-term incumbent has been defeated in 48 of the 52 election cycles during the direct election era.
Heller is the only Republican among the 15 U.S. Senators who serve states in which their party holds a minority of U.S. House seats; a dozen (including Heller) are up for reelection in 2018.