The New GOP US Senate Primary Targets
GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.
Indiana
Where Are All the Senate Bids by GOP US Representatives?
Only one of the 73 Republican U.S. House members from Trump states with Democratic US Senators on the 2018 ballot has mounted a challenge.
How Many Trump States Will Back Democratic US Senate Nominees in 2018?
The 10 Trump states with Democratic incumbents have voted for senate nominees from the opposing party of the sitting president 62 percent of the time over the last 50 years.
Which 1st Term US Senator Will Lose in 2018?
At least one first-term incumbent has been defeated in 48 of the 52 election cycles during the direct election era.
Dean Heller: Ripe for the Picking?
Heller is the only Republican among the 15 U.S. Senators who serve states in which their party holds a minority of U.S. House seats; a dozen (including Heller) are up for reelection in 2018.
The Closest US Senate Races in All 50 States
History suggests the nation is overdue for a record-setting U.S. Senate nail-biter and there are plenty of states that could serve up extremely close contests on November 8th.
Democrats Could Notch Best Gubernatorial Election Cycle in Party History
If a handful of toss-up races all end up in the Democratic column, the party will have its strongest showing in races for governor since its formation nearly 190 years ago.
1 in 7 US House Races Have Only One Major Party Candidate on November Ballot
New Hampshire has both the largest (179 in a row) and longest (since 1856) streaks of fielding U.S. House nominees from both major parties; Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also have streaks north of 100.
Indiana Voters Could See Rare Split-Ticket in 2016
Over the last century, Indiana voters have never backed a presidential nominee without also supporting that party’s gubernatorial or U.S. Senate nominee.
Number of Female Lieutenant Governors to Increase After 2016
Midwestern states account for 40 percent of the cumulative female lieutenant gubernatorial service in U.S. history along with the three longest current streaks (Minnesota, Iowa, and Wisconsin).