Which US Senate Race Will Be the Biggest Nail-Biter of 2018?
Two of this cycle’s ‘toss-up’ states – Indiana and Nevada – have hosted the most closely decided races for the office in seven cycles over the last century.
Indiana
Nothing to See Here: A Review of Indiana Democratic US Senate Primaries
The party has hosted only one contested primary for the office over the last dozen cycles since 1988.
It’s All Relative: Indiana Edition, Part II
Slightly more than 1 in 20 Hoosiers entering Congress since statehood had a family member precede them in one of the two legislative chambers.
It’s All Relative: Indiana Edition, Part I
Eight members of Congress from Indiana have simultaneously served alongside family members on the Hill; the Braun brothers hope their names will be added to that list after 2018.
9th Time’s a Charm: Can Democrats Win Alabama’s US Senate Special Election?
Only five of 55 U.S. Senate partisan winning streaks of eight in a row have been halted in the subsequent contest during direct election era.
The New GOP US Senate Primary Targets
GOP U.S. Senators who faced bona fide renomination battles over the last four cycles averaged 74 years of age, were 28 years older than their opponent, and had served 24+ years in the chamber; not so in 2018.
Where Are All the Senate Bids by GOP US Representatives?
Only one of the 73 Republican U.S. House members from Trump states with Democratic US Senators on the 2018 ballot has mounted a challenge.
How Many Trump States Will Back Democratic US Senate Nominees in 2018?
The 10 Trump states with Democratic incumbents have voted for senate nominees from the opposing party of the sitting president 62 percent of the time over the last 50 years.
Which 1st Term US Senator Will Lose in 2018?
At least one first-term incumbent has been defeated in 48 of the 52 election cycles during the direct election era.
Dean Heller: Ripe for the Picking?
Heller is the only Republican among the 15 U.S. Senators who serve states in which their party holds a minority of U.S. House seats; a dozen (including Heller) are up for reelection in 2018.