Media Analysis: Iowa US Senate Race Is 2014’s True Toss-up
A study of 2014 U.S. Senate race ratings finds the odds of a pick-up in Iowa’s race between Bruce Braley and Joni Ernst are closer to 50-50 than any other contest in the country.
Arkansas
Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings
Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.
Two and Done: Tim Griffin’s Abrupt Exit from the US House
89 percent of the 80 two-term Arkansas U.S. Representatives since statehood ran for a third term or higher office that cycle.
Unusual Entrances: Clergymen Turned US Senators
North Carolina’s Mark Harris is trying to add his name to a list of less than two-dozen members of the clergy who have served in the Senate in U.S. history and only three who were elected to the chamber since the turn of the 19th Century.
Mark Pryor Could Face Historic Defeat in 2014
No incumbent U.S. Senator has lost a general election race coming off a victory in which he did not face a major party opponent.
Tom Cotton’s Quandary: Can House Freshmen Win Senate Seats?
Only 17 House freshmen have been elected to the Senate over the last century, and just two in the last 40 years.
Duckworth, Castro Lead House Freshman Class in Early Media Buzz
While most new U.S. Representatives have lain low during their first month in office, a half-dozen freshmen have received more than half the media coverage of their entire class.
Romney’s Numbers Underwhelm in Final Primary Contests
Romney has carried just three out of 43 states this cycle with 70+ percent of the vote, compared to an average of more than 15 states by previous presumptive GOP nominees.
Which States Have the Most Competitive U.S. House Elections?
Wyoming, New Hampshire and Iowa lead the nation for the most competitive U.S. House races since 2002; Massachusetts, Alabama, Arkansas, and New York the least competitive
Arkansas Primary Live Blog
5:48 p.m. Last polls close in Arkansas at 7:30 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 35 of its 47 convention delegates from the primary today: 22 delegates are allocated proportionally based on the results in each of the state’s four…