The unusually competitive and crowded GOP field is lowering the bar to victory in many states.
Not only are Democrats losing gubernatorial elections at a rate not seen in 100+ years, but the party’s nominees are losing badly.
Montana has voted in concert with the region overall at a higher rate than any other Western state; Hawaii has done so the least.
More than 135 guests have appeared with the First Lady since the president’s first SOTU speech in 2010, but none from 16 states.
Nominees from the nation’s largest third party set records in 10 states last cycle for the largest support ever recorded in a U.S. Senate election.
Three fell in 2014 and more than half of all defeated U.S. Senators over the last 100 years have been in their first term; at least one first-term incumbent has lost reelection in 47 of the 51 election cycles during the direct election era.
The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.
Over the last 50 years, just five pairs of incumbent governors and U.S. Senators from different political parties in the same state have been defeated.
Alaskans have never voted both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate incumbents out of office in the same cycle; incumbents in all three statewide offices could lose Tuesday.
At least four third party, independent, or write-in gubernatorial candidates have won 10+ percent of the vote in every midterm election since the 1986 cycle – a trend likely to continue this November.