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Smart Politics

Political analysis by and beyond the numbers since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Recent Posts
  • May 13, 2019 | Cheney vs. Loomis for Wyoming US Senate?
  • May 8, 2019 | Iowa GOP Seeks 1st Unseating of Freshman US Rep in More Than a Half-Century
  • May 6, 2019 | Which States Have Had the Most Women Nominated to the US Senate?
  • May 2, 2019 | Big Dreams In Big Sky Country
  • May 2, 2019 | A Short-Lived Streak?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier May 13, 2019

Cheney vs. Loomis for Wyoming US Senate?

The 2020 cycle could mark the first time a pair of Wyoming U.S. Senate hopefuls had previous service in the nation’s lower legislative chamber.

Full Story

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier May 8, 2019

Iowa GOP Seeks 1st Unseating of Freshman US Rep in More Than a Half-Century

Iowa freshmen U.S. Representatives have won their last 22 reelection bids since 1968.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier May 6, 2019

Which States Have Had the Most Women Nominated to the US Senate?

Major parties in nine states have not nominated a woman to the U.S. Senate this century.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier May 2, 2019

Joe Biden and a Review of 3-Time Presidential Candidates

Biden joins a handful of other major party candidates since 1972 who were undeterred after two failed White House bids.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier April 28, 2019

The Leftovers

Which news outlets are omitting long-shot Democratic hopefuls from their 2020 candidate profiles?


President

April 24, 2019

2020 Democratic Presidential Field Sets Record Number of Same-State Candidates


March 31, 2019

O’Rourke, Abrams, and Gillum: Who Had the Most Impressive Loss of 2018?


March 21, 2019

The Most Recent Presidential Candidates in All 50 States


March 17, 2019

Climbing the Ladder: US Senators Running for President


U.S. House

March 5, 2019

North Carolina’s 9th CD Race Not Only US House Election Do-Over Due to Fraud


February 22, 2019

North Carolina Has 2 US House Vacancies For 1st Time Since 1930


February 13, 2019

Walter Jones Ranks 2nd for North Carolina GOP US House Service


February 7, 2019

California’s Footprint on the Democratic US House Delegation


U.S. Senate

February 26, 2019

King’s Candidacy Could Lead Iowa to an Electoral First in 2020


February 17, 2019

Is Virginia’s Democratic Electoral Streak in Jeopardy?


January 15, 2019

The Magnificent Six


December 24, 2018

Martha McSally and a Brief History of Failed US Senate Nominees Later Appointed to the Chamber


Governor

April 21, 2019

Will Terry McAuliffe Run for Governor in 2021?


April 8, 2019

Will Jon Huntsman Make a Historic Return to Utah’s Governorship?


March 26, 2019

Can Democrats Reverse Course in Kentucky and Mississippi?


January 29, 2019

Bevin Brings In New Blood


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Browse Category Archive

Remains of the Data

The Most Recent Presidential Candidates in All 50 States

March 21, 2019 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

All but five states have fielded at least one major party candidate for the White House in the modern primary era.

Political Crumbs

Big Dreams In Big Sky Country

May 2, 2019 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

It is expected that term-limited Montana Governor Steve Bullock will announce his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination later this month. That will give Montana its first presidential candidate in nearly 70 years. The last Treasure State political figure to be considered for the White House was Democratic U.S. Senator James Murray in 1952. Murray received 12 favorite son votes from his state’s 20-member delegation on the first ballot of the DNC in Chicago that July. Only Wyoming (1924, John Kendrick), North Dakota (no candidate), and Nevada (no candidate) have had longer droughts.

A Short-Lived Streak?

May 2, 2019 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

A record 23 women were nominated by major parties to the U.S. Senate in 2018, although it may be a challenge to see that number equaled or increased in 2020. There were 13 incumbent women on the ballot last cycle compared to just seven that are up for reelection next year: Martha McSally (AZ), Joni Ernst (IA), Susan Collins (ME), Tina Smith (MN), Cindy Hyde-Smith (MS), Jeanne Shaheen (NH), and Shelly Moore Capito (WV). After plateauing in the 1990s (47 nominees) and 2000s (46 nominees), the number of women who won a major party U.S. Senate nomination during the 2010s nearly doubled to 85. There were just nine such nominees in the 1970s and 26 in the 1980s.

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