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Smart Politics

Political analysis by and beyond the numbers since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Recent Posts
  • December 24, 2018 | Martha McSally and a Brief History of Failed US Senate Nominees Later Appointed to the Chamber
  • December 21, 2018 | Winners With Asterisks?
  • December 17, 2018 | Doug Ducey Will Become 14th Governor to Appoint 2 US Senators Since 1913
  • December 13, 2018 | 4 Gubernatorial Nominees Set State Party Records in 2018
  • December 11, 2018 | South Carolina Democrats End Party’s Largest US House Pick-Up Drought

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier December 24, 2018

Martha McSally and a Brief History of Failed US Senate Nominees Later Appointed to the Chamber

Less than 10 failed U.S. Senate nominees in the direct election era were later rewarded with an appointment to a senate seat.

Full Story

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier December 17, 2018

Doug Ducey Will Become 14th Governor to Appoint 2 US Senators Since 1913

Only three other governors have made more than one appointment to the chamber during the last 64 years.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier December 13, 2018

4 Gubernatorial Nominees Set State Party Records in 2018

Winning candidates in four states – two Democrats and two Republicans – received the largest support recorded by their party in a race for governor since statehood.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier December 11, 2018

South Carolina Democrats End Party’s Largest US House Pick-Up Drought

After more than five-dozen failed attempts to flip a seat, Democrats won the most competitive election for the office in South Carolina in more than 125 years.


By Dr. Eric Ostermeier December 7, 2018

Partisan Gubernatorial Election Records Abound in 2018 Cycle

Democrats and Republicans in 18 states have now set or tied their longest gubernatorial winning streak in party history.


President

December 5, 2018

George HW Bush’s Longevity By the Numbers


September 7, 2018

What Will the GOP’s US Senate Electoral Record Be Under Trump?


April 1, 2018

David Shulkin and Trump’s Vanishing Cabinet


March 18, 2018

Rex Tillerson’s Historically Short Tenure As Secretary of State


U.S. House

November 13, 2018

Ilhan Omar Nearly Breaks Minnesota US House Electoral Record


November 11, 2018

Axne Records Rare Plurality Win in Iowa US House Race


November 8, 2018

Minnesotans Make History in 2018 US House Elections


November 7, 2018

New Jersey GOP Endures Worst Cycle for US House Races in Party History


U.S. Senate

November 25, 2018

Largest Number of All-Democratic State Delegations Headed to Congress in 50+ Years


November 21, 2018

Florida 2018 and the Closest US Senate Races In the 50 States


November 5, 2018

Massachusetts Poised to Cast Historic Gubernatorial and US Senate Split Ticket Vote


October 30, 2018

Chuck Grassley: Win One for the…Grim Reaper?


Governor

November 29, 2018

Three Midwestern States Host Most Competitive Gubernatorial Elections in More Than a Half-Century


November 27, 2018

Gavin Newsom Records Biggest Democratic Gubernatorial Win in California History


November 18, 2018

Wisconsin Democrats Land Rare Sweep of Constitutional Offices in 2018


October 18, 2018

In Which States Have Incumbent Governors Struggled to Win Reelection?


Smart Politics Across the 50 States

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Browse Category Archive

Remains of the Data

New Jersey GOP Endures Worst Cycle for US House Races in Party History

November 7, 2018 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

Only the Election of 1912 saw Republicans win as low a percentage of seats to the chamber since the founding of the party in the mid-1850s.

Political Crumbs

Winners With Asterisks?

December 21, 2018 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

The 116th Congress will convene 13 U.S. Senators who were most recently elected to the chamber with a plurality of the vote (seven Democrats and six Republicans) – dropping from 15 such lawmakers ending the 115th Congress. That marks the sixth consecutive congress with 10 or more senators who did not win the support of a majority of voters en route to their most recent term – the second longest stretch in history trailing only the first seven congresses that convened at the start of the direct election era (64th through 70th). In 2018, just two candidates were victorious with pluralities (the lowest level since 2004): Democrats Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona (49.9 percent) and Joe Manchin of West Virginia (49.6 percent). Five others came close, but were elected with majorities of less than 51 percent: Democrats Jackie Rosen (Nevada) and Jon Tester (Montana) and GOPers Ted Cruz (Texas), Mike Braun (Indiana), and Rick Scott (Florida).

Democrats Get Streaky

November 15, 2018 | By Dr. Eric Ostermeier

In last week’s midterm elections, Democrats continued to run up the score in U.S. House races across multiple Northeastern states. A sweep of Massachusetts’ nine congressional districts increased the Democratic winning streak to 119 in a row in the Bay State dating back to 1996. Democrats also swept through Connecticut for the sixth consecutive cycle, extending the party record there to 30 straight elections (closing in on the Republican mark of 38 in a row set from 1894-1908). Rhode Island Democrats, meanwhile, won each of their state’s two congressional districts and extended the party’s victory streak to 26 in a row dating back to 1994.

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